A new way of investing | info@ostrica.com

Corona Update – 21 April 2020

 

In our previous corona update, we outlined some future scenarios. In this update, we address the ongoing recovery from the most likely scenarios:

  1. A temporary recession with a gradual recovery of the markets with limited inflation (75% probability), or the crash of 1987;
  2. A further deflation trap with more stimulation (15% probability), or the 2008 financial crisis. 

Below we present the actual realized recovery compared to our previous forecasts, with we are now about 3% ahead of the recovery.

The risk mitigation measures we have taken have enabled us to significantly limit the drawdown, especially compared to a Buy & Hold strategy. As a result, our recovery period will also be considerably shorter. If we look at the beginning of 2019, we see that we are already 5% above this level and with 29% return we are again close to our long-term target of interest + 5%.

Our models never sleep so you can, we are here to serve and protect. 

Previous updates

Our website uses cookies. Cookies make the website more personal and user-friendly. Read more about cookies.

The cookie settings on this website are set to "allow cookies" to give you the best browsing experience possible. If you continue to use this website without changing your cookie settings or you click "Accept" below then you agree to these institutions.

Sluiten